One of the simple fallacies
regarding the rainy season in the Philippines is that the brunt of tropical
storms and typhoons that visit the country falls in the months of June and
July. Of course the real story is far more complex, and a run-through of
weather reports over the past few years will indicate the relative spacing of
significant atmospheric disturbances throughout the year save for the summer
months of March to May. Case in point, the country and the general region is
currently reeling from a one-two combination of tropical storms. The latest,
called Jenny by PAGASA, only just received its storm designation.
CNN Philippines reports that the re-designation of tropical
depression Jenny into a tropical storm has led to more areas in Luzon to be issued
storm signals by the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA). This is in anticipation for a possible
landfall in Region IV-A CALABARZON tomorrow or the middle of the week. The
PAGASA bulletin of 11 AM this Tuesday, August 27, has put the provinces of Aurora,
Isabela and Quirino under Tropical Cyclone Signal number 2. This is doubly so
since Aurora province has been predicted as the site of landfall.
RAINFALL ADVISORY No. 5 #NCR_PRSD— PAGASA-DOST (@dost_pagasa) August 27, 2019
Weather System: Tropical Storm JENNY
Issued at: 11:00 AM,27 August 2019 pic.twitter.com/mDEzNF9wSi
Meanwhile, Metro Manila and 22
other provinces in their entirety now have Cyclone Signal number 1 raised as TS
Jenny (international name “Pudol”) draws near. They are: Abra, Apayao, Bataan, Benguet,
Bulacan, Cagayan, Camarines Norte, Catanduanes, Cavite, Ifugao, Ilocos Norte,
Ilocos Sur, Kalinga, Laguna, La Union, Mountain Province, Nueva Ecija, Nueva
Vizcaya, Pampanga, Pangasinan, Tarlac and Zambales, Provincial portions that
have also gotten Signal number 1 are northern Quezon province and Polillo Islands,
and northeastern Camarines Sur. A forecast by PAGASA one hour before the Storm
signal bulletin (10 AM) plotted Jenny 360 km east-northeast of Daet, Camarines
Norte, and moving west-northwest at 25 km/h.
Even areas of the Philippines
without an official Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal have received heavy
rainfall warnings on account of Tropical Storm Jenny. The regions of Eastern
Visayas, Western Visayas, Northern Mindanao, Zamboanga Peninsula and the BARMM
were advised to beware of rains ranging from light and intermittent to heavy
and frequent. The rains are warned to possibly cause flooding and landslides in
all designated prone areas within those regions. Strong rainfall and heavy
winds will also make for rough seas in the country, making travel by water as
Jenny comes closer a risky proposition.
The landfall of TS Jenny on
Aurora Province is estimated to happen this same Tuesday evening, or
about morning of Wednesday, August 28. It will not stay long either as it will clear
Philippine landmass by Thursday, August 29. Its predecessor, Severe Tropical
Storm Ineng (Bailu), missed the Philippines but still caused storm damage and
two dead in Ilocos Norte during its August 20-26 passage towards Taiwan and
China.
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